Brexit: Deal Or No Deal?

In observing recent negotiations concerning the UK’s ever hastily impending withdrawal from the European Union, I’m finding the vocabulary used extremely familiar. We’re at a seminal stage in the Brexit talks and even at this decidedly late juncture, it’s hard to discern what progress has been made, either real or apparent. With negotiations seemingly deadlocked and with little prospect of a definitive breakthrough, there’s not exactly an abundance of optimism in the air and the mood of the population at large has become increasingly dark. The overriding feelings surrounding the most historic event of this generation are not so much febrile as depressingly toxic. These are certainly unique times. For all that, I can’t shake off this feeling of familiarity with the language being used. Where have I heard it before? Oh, that’s right: Noel Edmonds!

Yes, deal or no deal. That’s the question on the lips of an entire continent and an anxious watching world. Just what has Michel Barnier got concealed in that envelope of his? Alas, nothing of substance as far as Theresa’s May’s bitterly divided administration is concerned. What makes the impasse all the more intolerable is you sense we’re nearly there; that a positive outcome is tantalisingly close. So near and yet so far.

What we’ve seen in recent weeks is the unedifying sight of both sides frantically dancing on the head of a pin to find a commonly accepted form of words that’ll suit everyone. Neither party will get everything it wants, of course, but hey that’s the nature of compromise. Despite the wholly predictable mutual rejection of the latest sets of proposals, the broad outline of a deal is there and has been for many months now. The issue is one of marketability; how well both sides can sell any deal to their complex constituencies.

And May’s position is devilishly complicated. As if leading a party publicly tearing itself apart and in the midst of a de facto civil war wasn’t arduous enough, Britain’s premier must contend with another notoriously disagreeable component. In fact, dealing with arch Brexiteers like Rees-Mogg, Johnson and Davis is a veritable walk in the park compared to the intransigents in the DUP, upon whom Mrs May relies for her government’s survival. On top of all that, the British PM has to combat the impressive and formidable Barnier. A rock and a hard place doesn’t even come close to describing May’s predicament!

Perhaps we should’t be too gloomy. Common sense and pragmatism dictates that a deal will the done. As does the exigencies of the Irish border. The financial markets are edgy, businesses the length and breadth of the continent are begging for certainty and politicians from all sides of the spectrum are scurrying around furiously looking for a way to extricate themselves from this unholy mess. A no deal scenario is inconceivable in that context. Or is it?

The trouble is the protagonists have entrenched themselves so deeply that it’s becoming ever more difficult to negotiate a safe and secure way out. Pride and stubbornness have become factors here. No-one wants to lose face. But the stakes are way too high for pointless grandstanding and brinkmanship. Good sense must prevail in the middle of all this madness.

If that means a few extra customs checks on goods coming across the Irish sea, then so be it. It seems a small price to pay to avert the biggest political, economic and constitutional crisis to afflict these islands in a generation. This is a time for courage. A time for bold and conscientious leadership. It’s quite ironic that the calamitous breakdown in British/EU relations was at least partially inspired by the global financial meltdown and bail outs; whose grim ten year anniversary has just been marked. Brexit: Deal or No Deal? I wonder what The Banker has to say about it all?

 

File:Flag of Europe.svg

Twitter: @rorymcgimpsey

Image courtesy of Wikipedia: By User:Verdy p, User:-xfi-, User:Paddu, User:Nightstallion, User:Funakoshi, User:Jeltz, User:Dbenbenn, User:Zscout370 [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

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